AFC Thoughts

The Future of Anti-Financial Crime: Predictions & AFC Ecosystem’s Role

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Tookitaki
22 Sep 2023
6 min
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In the ever-evolving world of finance, financial crimes have emerged as a chameleon entity, constantly changing and adapting to the environment. From rudimentary scams in the early days of banking to sophisticated cyber-attacks in the digital age, financial crimes have kept pace with the rapid advancements in technology and the financial sector itself. Today, with the globalization of financial markets and the rise of digital currencies, the face of financial crime has morphed once again, presenting challenges that are more intricate and elusive than ever before.

Such a dynamic landscape demands not just reactive measures but a proactive approach. It's no longer about merely responding to financial crimes after they occur; it's about anticipating them, understanding potential future threats, and putting mechanisms in place to prevent them. As financial criminals leverage cutting-edge technologies and ingenious tactics, the onus is on financial institutions and regulatory bodies to stay a step ahead.

Ensuring the safety of assets, maintaining customer trust, and upholding the integrity of the global financial system hinges on the relentless pursuit of advanced anti-financial crime measures. The stakes are high, and the race against financial criminals is one we cannot afford to lose.

A Look Back: The Evolution of Financial Crimes

The history of financial crimes is as old as the history of money itself. As financial systems evolved, so did the methods to exploit them. Let's trace this journey to understand how past experiences have informed today's protective measures.

Historical Perspective on Financial Crimes: Techniques and Technologies

  • Pre-Modern Era: Before the advent of modern banking systems, financial crimes were predominantly direct, involving thefts, embezzlement, or fraudulent misrepresentations. These were times when a counterfeited coin or tampered weights could sway trade deals and economies.
  • Birth of Modern Banking: With the rise of modern banking in the 18th and 19th centuries, bank robberies, forgery, and fraud began to surface. Criminals like Charles Ponzi, whose infamous scheme gave name to 'Ponzi schemes,' exploited trust and lack of oversight in nascent banking systems.
  • Twentieth Century: The rise of electronic and then digital banking presented new opportunities for financial criminals. Credit card fraud, wire fraud, and insider trading became prevalent. The 1980s saw a surge in money laundering, especially with the rise of drug cartels.
  • The Digital Age: The late 20th and early 21st centuries experienced an explosion of online financial activities, leading to new forms of cybercrime. Phishing, identity theft, ransomware attacks, and cryptocurrency scams became commonplace. This era marked a shift from physical to virtual crimes, leveraging sophisticated technologies and exploiting digital vulnerabilities.

How Reactions to These Crimes Shaped Current Measures

Over the years, reactions to financial crimes have often been a mix of regulatory changes, technological advancements, and shifts in public perception:

  • Regulatory Responses: Each wave of financial crimes led to new regulations and oversight mechanisms. The Bank Secrecy Act (1970) aimed to prevent money laundering, while the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (2002) responded to corporate fraud scandals.
  • Technological Countermeasures: With cybercrimes on the rise, financial institutions began investing heavily in cybersecurity. Encryption, multi-factor authentication, and AI-driven fraud detection systems became standard.
  • Shift in Public Perception: As people became more aware of financial crimes, there was an increasing demand for transparency and security. Financial literacy campaigns and public advisories educated individuals about potential risks and self-protection measures.

In sum, our journey through the history of financial crimes demonstrates a consistent pattern: every significant advancement or shift in financial systems inadvertently creates vulnerabilities. However, by learning from past mistakes and adapting, we have continually strived to fortify our financial landscapes.

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Predictions for Anti-Financial Crime in the Future

The world of financial crime, always dynamic and adaptive, is poised to undergo substantial transformations in the near future. Here's a look at some predictions about the future landscape of anti-financial crime measures and the challenges they'll address.

AI and Machine Learning as Primary Tools

As financial crimes grow in complexity, human-led methods alone will be insufficient. AI and Machine Learning will step in as invaluable tools, sifting through massive datasets in real time to detect anomalous patterns. These technologies will also predict future threats based on past and emerging patterns, allowing institutions to be proactive rather than merely reactive.

The Rise of Decentralized Finance and the Challenges It Brings

Decentralized finance (DeFi) is already disrupting the traditional financial landscape, offering peer-to-peer financial solutions without intermediaries like banks. However, its decentralized nature poses unique challenges, especially regarding oversight and regulation. Financial crimes in the DeFi space could be harder to trace and might require entirely new detection methodologies.

Global Collaborations for Sharing Intelligence

No single entity can combat financial crime alone. Global collaborations will become the norm, with institutions, governments, and agencies sharing intelligence to fight common threats. These collaborations might even transcend traditional political alliances, focusing purely on the shared goal of financial security.

Real-time Detection and Auto-response Mechanisms

The future will demand more than just timely detection; it will require immediate action. Advanced systems will not only identify potential threats in real time but also deploy auto-responses to neutralize them. This could involve freezing transactions, alerting stakeholders, or even deploying countermeasures against cyber-attacks.

The Challenge of Quantum Computing and Advanced Cryptographic Crimes

While quantum computing promises breakthroughs in various fields, it also presents challenges for financial security. Quantum computers could potentially break current cryptographic methods, leading to unprecedented vulnerabilities. The future will see a race between developing quantum-resistant cryptographic techniques and the potential misuse of quantum computing power by malicious actors.

The AFC Ecosystem: Bridging Present and Future

The landscape of financial crimes, teeming with constant evolution and innovation, demands a holistic and forward-thinking solution. Enter the AFC Ecosystem—a state-of-the-art response not just to the challenges of today, but also a bridge to tackling the uncertainties of tomorrow.

A Brief Recap of the AFC Ecosystem

At its core, the AFC Ecosystem is a powerhouse amalgamation of modern technologies, vast data repositories, and collaborative networks. It focuses on enhancing the ability of financial institutions to detect, prevent, and respond to financial crimes. By leveraging AI-driven analytics, real-time monitoring, and community-driven insights, it offers a comprehensive solution for a wide range of financial threats.

AFC Ecosystem

Aligning with the Predicted Future Challenges and Tools

  • Embracing AI and Machine Learning: The AFC Ecosystem doesn't just incorporate AI and machine learning—it's built around them. As the world anticipates these technologies to be at the forefront of anti-financial crime measures, the AFC Ecosystem is already there, utilizing these tools to discern patterns, make predictions, and offer proactive solutions.
  • Addressing Decentralized Finance: With the ascent of DeFi platforms, new challenges in oversight and transparency arise. The AFC Ecosystem is designed with adaptability in mind, ready to navigate the unique challenges posed by decentralized financial systems and ensure that they remain secure and compliant.
  • Championing Global Collaboration: The AFC Ecosystem isn't just a tool; it's a network. It fosters a community of financial experts, institutions, and regulators. This collaborative approach echoes the predicted future emphasis on global intelligence-sharing, positioning the AFC Ecosystem as a forerunner in this domain.
  • Prioritizing Real-time Actions: The ecosystem understands the importance of immediacy. Its capabilities in real-time detection are complemented by automated response mechanisms, ensuring that threats are not just identified but also neutralized swiftly.
  • Preparing for Quantum Computing Challenges: While the full ramifications of quantum computing on financial security are still unfolding, the AFC Ecosystem is designed with future adaptability in mind. As the quantum realm becomes more accessible, the ecosystem will evolve, ensuring that its protective measures remain robust and relevant.

In essence, the AFC Ecosystem is not just a response to today's challenges but a proactive preparation for tomorrow's uncertainties. It embodies the philosophy of not just keeping pace with the evolving world of financial crimes but staying a step ahead, ensuring a safer financial landscape for all.

Embracing the Future with the AFC Ecosystem

The world of finance, while filled with opportunities, is also fraught with challenges that morph with every technological leap and societal shift. As we've delved into the trajectory of financial crimes and envisioned the landscape of tomorrow, one fact remains evident: proactive, forward-thinking is not just commendable, but crucial. In the race against financial criminals, being reactionary can be costly, both in terms of finances and reputation.

The AFC Ecosystem, as we've illuminated, is a beacon in this evolving environment. It doesn't merely respond to the current landscape—it anticipates, prepares, and empowers. For financial institutions looking towards the horizon, the AFC Ecosystem offers a dynamic shield and a strategic tool, rolled into one. It's a testament to what can be achieved when innovation meets insight.

But it's more than just a protective measure; it's a strategic ally. By harnessing the myriad capabilities of the AFC Ecosystem, institutions not only bolster their defences but also carve a niche for themselves as forward-thinking pioneers in a rapidly evolving industry.

So, as we stand on the cusp of the future, the question isn't merely about how to protect oneself—it's about how to lead. And for those institutions looking to lead, the path forward is illuminated by the capabilities and promise of the AFC Ecosystem.

It's time to not just anticipate the future but to embrace and shape it. Explore what the AFC Ecosystem can offer, and let's forge ahead, crafting a safer, more secure financial world together. Dive in, discover, and be a part of the future with the AFC Ecosystem.

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Our Thought Leadership Guides

AFC Thoughts
18 Jul 2024
4 min
read

Typology Tales July 2024: Account Takeover Surveillance

We are pleased to share the latest edition of "Typology Tales" for July 2024. This edition highlights the new typologies that our Anti-Financial Crime (AFC) community has carefully analysed and selected. Our community's collective efforts are crucial in staying ahead of evolving financial crime threats, and we are grateful for your continued participation and contributions.

AFC Community’s Role

Each month, our dedicated AFC community comes together to analyze and evaluate newly created typologies, selecting those that can significantly enhance the ecosystem's ability to prevent and combat financial crime. The typologies chosen for publication are those that offer the most promise in terms of effectiveness and applicability across various scenarios.

Key Highlights from July 2024 

These typologies have been meticulously curated to ensure they provide robust and actionable insights, ultimately helping to safeguard the financial ecosystem.

Theme of the Month: Account Takeover Fraud (ATO)

Theme of the month

Account takeover fraud (ATO) is a type of cybercrime where unauthorised people access a user's account and use it for harmful purposes. This dangerous activity has increased significantly in recent times, posing a growing threat to both individuals and organisations. 

In this edition...

In this edition of Typology Tales, we delve into two typologies that compliance professionals can incorporate into their transaction fraud monitoring systems to proactively prevent account takeover in real time.

Typology 1: Surge in Multi-Party Transactions in Sizeable Values

Typology-multiple counterparty

A pattern of multiple parties making high-value transactions with one entity in a short period of  time suggests possible account takeover fraud. This requires a strategic review of transaction behaviours.

How It Works

  • The typology monitors transactions involving a single customer who receives or transfers funds with multiple parties within a short time span.
  • To identify potential account takeover risks, the typology groups transactions by the unique identifiers of senders and receivers within a specified time frame. By tracking these identifiers over a defined period, it can determine how many different parties have transacted with a particular entity.

  • Simultaneously, the typology aggregates the transaction amounts linked to unique senders and receivers.

  • It flags any entity that engages in transactions with a large number of different parties and exceeds a cumulative transaction threshold. This signals potential account takeover risks due to unauthorised access and high-value transactions.

Typology 2: Monitoring High-Value Transactions Across Multiple Payment Modes

15 - 2024 July Edition TT Typology tales-1-1-1-1

Financial institutions may implement advanced monitoring to detect high-value transactions between senders and receivers through various modes, aiming to uncover potential account takeover fraud.

How It Works

  • To effectively oversee the flow of funds, the typology tracks and aggregates transaction amounts based on the mode of transfer.
  • Transaction amounts, including those made through cash or alternative payments, are further aggregated by the unique identifiers of the sender and receiver over a specific period.
  • Entities showing high-value transactions across multiple payment modes over specified time frames are potentially flagged as suspicious. This increased activity may indicate that an account has been compromised and is being used to funnel funds illegally.

From the Media: Account Takeover Attacks Overtake Ransomware as Leading Security Concern

Research by cybersecurity firm Abnormal Security highlights that account takeover (ATO) attacks have become a top concern for security leaders. The 2024 State of Cloud Account Takeover Attacks report reveals that 83% of organisations experienced at least one ATO incident in the past year. 

Over 75% of security leaders rank ATOs among the top four global cyber threats, with nearly 50% facing more than five incidents annually and around 20% encountering over ten incidents. ATOs are now considered more significant than other threats such as spear phishing and ransomware.

Read More

Unite in the Fight Against Financial Crime

Financial crime is a pervasive issue that requires a collective, centralised approach to intelligence gathering. That's why we have created the Anti-Financial Crime (AFC) Ecosystem, a network of experts who work together to share knowledge and develop strategies for combating financial crime.

If you are an AFC expert, we invite you to join our efforts and help us grow the AFC Ecosystem. And if you know any other AFC experts, please refer them to us so we can continue to expand and strengthen our network. Together, we can make a real difference in the fight against financial crime.

Typology Tales July 2024: Account Takeover Surveillance
AFC Thoughts
01 Jul 2024
3 min
read

Account Takeover Fraud: Monitoring Entities Incorporated Long Back

In the evolving landscape of financial crime, financial institutions need to intensify their scrutiny of transactions from entities with a long history of incorporation but sporadic or recent activity. This increased vigilance aims to detect and thwart potential account takeover fraud within savings accounts, ensuring the safety and integrity of financial systems.

Given below is a typology from Tookitaki's AFC Ecosystem. It details how to ensure your monitoring system triggers alerts transactions from entities with a long history of incorporation

Understanding the Typology

Setting Up Entity Historical Profiles

Financial institutions employ a function known as the "Incorporation Date of the Entity" to track and record the incorporation dates and transaction activities of entities. This function helps identify entities that have been established long ago but have shown recent or sudden transaction activities, which could be indicative of fraud.

Function Configuration and Data Aggregation

  • Aggregate Fields: The system aggregates data on 'sender incorporation date' and 'receiver incorporation date.'
  • Aggregate Function: Using the collect_set function, the system compiles a unique set of incorporation dates for each sender and receiver, providing a comprehensive historical perspective of each entity's transaction timeline.
  • Group By: Transactions are grouped by unique identifiers like 'sender_hashcode' and 'receiver_hashcode,' linking each entity’s transaction history to specific account profiles.

Monitoring and Anomaly Detection

The system continuously monitors the transaction activities of these entities, comparing current transactions against historical data. Entities that have shown no or minimal transaction activities for a significant period since their incorporation are closely watched. A sudden spike in transactions, especially those of significant volume or frequency, triggers an alert. This scrutiny is particularly heightened if the entity's previous activity has been minimal or non-existent for years.

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Flagging and Review Process

Transactions involving long-dormant entities resuming activity are flagged as high-risk. These flagged transactions undergo a detailed review to ascertain the legitimacy of the activity and to rule out any potential account takeover or other fraudulent intentions.

Investigative Measures

For flagged transactions, financial institutions conduct thorough investigations involving:

  • Background Checks: Verifying the entity's background.
  • Transaction Legitimacy: Confirming the legitimacy of the transaction.
  • Entity Ownership: Ensuring the entity's ownership and operational status.

Preventative Actions and Customer Interaction

If fraudulent activity is confirmed, financial institutions take immediate steps to:

  • Block further transactions.
  • Secure the affected accounts.
  • Possibly reverse fraudulent transactions.
  • Contact entity representatives for further clarification and to ensure all parties are informed of the situation.

Compliance and Reporting Obligations

All suspicious activities are documented and reported in compliance with regulatory requirements. This ensures that the institution remains compliant with anti-fraud regulations and aids in broader efforts to combat financial crime.

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Enhancement of Monitoring Systems

Based on findings and trends observed from monitoring these entities, financial institutions continually refine their detection algorithms and update their monitoring systems to better identify and prevent potential fraud.

By closely monitoring the activities of entities incorporated long ago but recently active, banks can effectively spot unusual patterns that may indicate fraudulent activities, such as account takeovers. This proactive approach helps safeguard customer assets and maintain the integrity of the financial system.

Final Thoughts

Financial institutions must remain vigilant and proactive in monitoring and analyzing transaction activities, especially those involving historically dormant entities. This typology, sourced from Tookitaki's AFC Ecosystem, highlights the importance of advanced monitoring techniques in detecting potential fraud.

We encourage anti-financial crime professionals to join the AFC Ecosystem to access unique typologies and leverage community-driven insights for enhanced fraud detection and prevention. Together, we can strengthen our defenses against financial crime and protect the integrity of our financial systems.

Account Takeover Fraud: Monitoring Entities Incorporated Long Back
AFC Thoughts
22 May 2024
3 min
read

The Globalization of Fraud: The Rise of Transnational Scams

In an increasingly interconnected world, the borders that once confined criminal activities are rapidly dissolving, aided by the rise of digitalisation and the pervasive reach of online platforms. The stark reality we face today is a landscape where fraudsters exploit digital payment systems to target individuals across the globe, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. Organised fraud syndicates are not just local threats; they operate on an international scale, executing sophisticated scams that often outpace current preventative measures.

Case Study: A Transnational Crackdown on Job Scams

On 20 March 2024, a significant breakthrough came when the Commercial Affairs Department (CAD) of the Singapore Police Force and the Bukit Aman Commercial Crime Investigation Department of the Royal Malaysia Police joined forces in Kuala Lumpur. This joint operation was the culmination of extensive cross-border investigative efforts aimed at dismantling a formidable job scam syndicate.

Between October 2023 and January 2024, this syndicate deceived over 3,000 individuals, accumulating illicit gains of approximately $45.7 million. These scams primarily targeted Singaporeans, promising lucrative job opportunities that required victims to make upfront payments or divulge sensitive information under the guise of securing employment. The rapid escalation of these scams prompted an intensive collaborative investigation, which eventually led to the arrest of five Malaysians involved in laundering the proceeds from these fraudulent activities.

This operation not only highlights the severity and reach of transnational scams but also underscores the urgent need for global cooperation and shared strategies to combat these crimes effectively.

Job Scam

The Imperative of a Collaborative Approach

As we witness a surge in transnational fraud, the isolation of financial institutions in their silos makes them particularly vulnerable. The complexity and rapid adaptation of fraud strategies require that defences be equally dynamic and interconnected.

Collective Intelligence and Shared Responsibility

To counteract the evolving menace of cross-border fraud effectively, a collaborative approach is indispensable. The AFC Ecosystem initiative represents a commitment to fostering industry-wide cooperation and information sharing. Through this collective intelligence, we aim to establish a robust defence mechanism that not only identifies but also anticipates fraudulent activities, ensuring safe and secure societies. This shared responsibility is vital in creating an impenetrable barrier against the sophisticated mechanisms of modern financial criminals.

Considering the Typology of the AFC Ecosystem

Drawing from the AFC Ecosystem's insights, let's delve into the typology of transnational job scams. This framework is instrumental in understanding how these frauds operate and what measures can be employed to thwart their attempts.

Detailed Analysis of the Typology

Transnational job scams represent a highly organized and rapidly proliferating threat that exploits the aspirations of job seekers worldwide. These scams are not just about deceit regarding employment opportunities but involve intricate financial manipulations that siphon funds across international borders.

Operational Mechanics

  • Initial Recruitment: The scam begins with contact through social media or other digital platforms, where victims are lured with high-return, low-effort job offers.
  • Deceptive Promises: The roles are advertised as lucrative yet simple enough to attract a wide demographic, from students to the unemployed.
  • Financial Prerequisites: Victims are persuaded to make upfront payments or provide personal information as a part of the onboarding process.
  • Expeditious Expansion: To maximize profits before any potential crackdown, these operations quickly scale and replicate across various regions.

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Granular Red Flags and Risk Indicators

To effectively monitor and prevent these scams, it is crucial to recognise the following detailed risk indicators:

  • Value: Transactions often involve small amounts that are usually perceived as low-risk by victims, making them less likely to raise immediate alarms.
  • Volume: A high frequency of transactions complicates tracking and analysis, as the sheer number of transactions can overwhelm standard monitoring systems.
  • Velocity: The rapid succession of payments, coupled with potential chargebacks or cancellations, creates a chaotic financial trail that is difficult to follow.
  • Channels: Scammers predominantly use digital payment platforms, online banking, and occasionally cryptocurrencies to maintain anonymity and complicate tracing.
  • Anonymity: There is often a mismatch between beneficiary details and the purported employer, signalling a red flag for transactions.
  • Recurrence: Victims are frequently solicited for multiple payments under various pretexts, each justified as necessary for job commencement or continuation.
  • High-risk Geos: Payments are directed to accounts in high-risk jurisdictions or to those that are otherwise unrelated or suspicious, lacking any logical connection to the job or employer.
  • Geographical Inconsistencies: The involved countries often have no direct connection to the alleged job or employer, exploiting the complexities of international law and jurisdictional boundaries.

Harnessing Collective Efforts for Enhanced Security

The fight against transnational fraud is not a battle that can be won in isolation. It requires the concerted efforts of financial institutions, regulatory bodies, law enforcement, and the public. By adopting the typology provided by the AFC Ecosystem and vigilantly monitoring the detailed risk indicators, we can forge a path towards a more secure and resilient financial environment. This collective approach is our best defense against the sophisticated and ever-evolving landscape of global fraud.

The Globalization of Fraud: The Rise of Transnational Scams